Dollar General reports solid growth as it girds for Walmart’s online onslaught

(Source: Bigstock)

Dollar General’s sales rose 5.2 per cent in the second quarter to $11.3 billion; however, its 29.2 per cent boost in operating profit to $769.2 million was flattered by federal tariff refunds. 

The company said the growth in net sales was underpinned by higher same-store sales. Same-store sales rose 3.5 per cent compared with the same quarter a year ago, with customer traffic up by 2 per cent and the average transaction amount by 1.5 per cent. 

“These results, which exceeded our expectations even before considering the benefit from tariff refunds after related reinvestments, are a testament to the strong execution, strategic direction, and continued dedication of our team,” said Todd Vasos, Dollar General’s CEO. “We are pleased with our second quarter performance, which included balanced topline growth, healthy operating margin expansion and strong double-digit EPS growth.” 

“Our results reflect continued momentum across the business, including our fifth consecutive quarter of customer traffic growth and the sixth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales growth across all four merchandising categories. This broad-based performance reflects the strength of our unique combination of value and convenience and the important role Dollar General plays in the communities we serve. 

“As we move through the back half of the year, we remain confident in our strategy, our long-term financial framework and our ability to continue driving value for our customers, associates and shareholders,” Vasos concluded.

Neil Saunders, MD of GlobalData, highlighted the significant underlying margin improvement that has been driven by better efficiency and higher store productivity from sales growth.

“The sales lift was driven by both traffic and a slight uplift in basket values. The former dynamic got a small boost from higher gas prices which, especially in rural areas, make the proximity and shorter drive times of Dollar General stores a bit more attractive. We have seen this dynamic play out before and, essentially, it acts as a recruiting tool for Dollar General. Given that gas prices remain elevated, we expect this benefit to continue lightly across the balance of the year,” Saunders said.

Dollar General is one of the country’s most prolific openers of new stores, a strategy that continues to boost overall sales. 

“However, the current tempo is somewhat slower than it has been in the recent past,” observed Saunders. “This is allowing more of a balance between capital spending on new store openings and on refurbishing existing stores.”

During the quarter, Dollar General opened 126 stores but completed some 1376 remodels.

He said the focus on existing stores is wise. “This is not only because higher standards are desperately needed in some locations, but also because one of Dollar General’s most powerful weapons – proximity to the customer – is set to come under pressure as players like Amazon and Walmart improve delivery coverage in smaller towns and rural areas. 

“The truth is that both players can easily match, or even beat, Dollar General on price and can offer a very high degree of convenience. So, there is an enormous risk of customer erosion as the trips made to Dollar General are replaced by delivery.”

He said that dynamic is not yet widespread, especially from Amazon, which is still investing in its rural capabilities, but it will become more pronounced over the years ahead. 

“Where it is in play, it seems to be that the people most likely to defect from Dollar General are the middle- and higher-income shoppers who mainly used the chain for convenience. Arguably, these are the customers that Dollar General least wants to lose as their basket sizes are higher and they are more likely to buy higher-margin non-consumable products.”

Recommended By IR

You have 6 articles remaining. Unlock 15 free articles a month, it’s free.